[2010.02.08]
[v7.3]

Research Interests

Summary

Descriptions By Topic

Epidemic Modelling

Analysing epidemics that have occurred is difficult given limited information about the disease and other factors of the situation. We can approach the problem by considering final size data, generally commonly reported, as well as extending to include information on social groupings and interactions.

Using this limited information, and making restrictive assumptions about the mechanism of infectivity and spread of the disease, we make inference about the parameters of the model. There are several limitations to this method, not least its reliance on specified model assumptions and simplifications. Also, the technique used does not allow for any temporal information to be incorporated - a significant area of current research.

This page © Copyright 2003, Simon White